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Economy
Economy
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
1 (25 bps)
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
2 (50 bps)
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
3 (75 bps)
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
4 (100 bps)
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
5 (125 bps)
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$17.5M Vol.
US recession by end of 2026?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$1.3M Vol.
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