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Science & Tech
All
Claude 5 released by…?
June 30, 2026
79%
Yes
79%
No
21%
May 31, 2026
72%
Yes
72%
No
28%
April 30, 2026
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
February 28, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
February 14, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
February 6
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.5M Vol.
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
1.5T+
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
1.25T–1.5T
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
750B–1T
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
1T–1.25T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
<500B
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$1.6M Vol.
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
December 31
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
June 30
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$1.4M Vol.
Who will acquire TikTok?
Larry Ellison/Oracle
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Microsoft
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Walmart
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
Amazon
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Meta
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$1.0M Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
600B+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
400–600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<100B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
300–400B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$950k Vol.
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
75%
Yes
75%
No
25%
<15B
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
15–20B
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
30B+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
25–30B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
20–25B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$819k Vol.
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
92%
Yes
92%
No
8%
250B+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
125–150B
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
150–175B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
200–250B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<100B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$367k Vol.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$252k Vol.
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
84%
Yes
84%
No
16%
September 30, 2026
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
June 30, 2026
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$229k Vol.
Grok 5 released by...?
June 30, 2026
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
December 31, 2025
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$134k Vol.
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
December 31
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
June 30
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$71k Vol.
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$6k Vol.
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