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Elections
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom
26%
Yes26%No74%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
9%
Yes9%No91%
Jon Ossoff
6%
Yes6%No94%
Kamala Harris
4%
Yes4%No96%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Yes4%No96%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Yes4%No96%
$1013.3M Vol.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Spain
15%
Yes15%No85%
France
15%
Yes15%No85%
England
11%
Yes11%No89%
Argentina
9%
Yes9%No91%
Brazil
9%
Yes9%No91%
Portugal
7%
Yes7%No93%
$554.1M Vol.
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
49%
Yes49%No51%
J.D. Vance
39%
Yes39%No61%
Marco Rubio
21%
Yes21%No79%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Yes5%No95%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Yes3%No97%
Donald Trump
2%
Yes2%No98%
$537.9M Vol.
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance
19%
Yes19%No81%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Yes16%No84%
Marco Rubio
9%
Yes9%No91%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Yes6%No94%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Yes4%No96%
Kamala Harris
3%
Yes3%No97%
$509.0M Vol.
English Premier League Winner

English Premier League Winner

Arsenal
86%
Yes86%No14%
Man City
14%
Yes14%No86%
Man United
0%
Yes0%No100%
Aston Villa
0%
Yes0%No100%
Liverpool
0%
Yes0%No100%
Chelsea
0%
Yes0%No100%
$314.7M Vol.
2026 NBA Champion

2026 NBA Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder
41%
Yes41%No59%
San Antonio Spurs
15%
Yes15%No85%
Boston Celtics
12%
Yes12%No88%
Denver Nuggets
11%
Yes11%No89%
Detroit Pistons
6%
Yes6%No94%
Cleveland Cavaliers
5%
Yes5%No95%
$241.7M Vol.
UEFA Champions League Winner

UEFA Champions League Winner

Bayern Munich
30%
Yes30%No70%
Arsenal
28%
Yes28%No72%
PSG
21%
Yes21%No79%
Atletico Madrid
7%
Yes7%No93%
Barcelona
7%
Yes7%No93%
Real Madrid
5%
Yes5%No95%
$231.3M Vol.
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31
41%
Yes41%No59%
June 30
7%
Yes7%No93%
April 30
2%
Yes2%No98%
March 31
0%
Yes0%No100%
$116.0M Vol.
LA LIGA Winner

LA LIGA Winner

Barcelona
94%
Yes94%No6%
Real Madrid
4%
Yes4%No96%
Atletico Madrid
0%
Yes0%No100%
Villarreal
0%
Yes0%No100%
Mallorca
0%
Yes0%No100%
Oviedo
0%
Yes0%No100%
$106.6M Vol.
The Masters - Winner

The Masters - Winner

Scottie Scheffler
23%
Yes23%No77%
Rory McIlroy
20%
Yes20%No80%
Ludvig Aberg
9%
Yes9%No91%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Yes6%No94%
Justin Rose
5%
Yes5%No95%
Sam Burns
5%
Yes5%No95%
$98.4M Vol.
NBA MVP

NBA MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
94%
Yes94%No6%
Victor Wembanyama
4%
Yes4%No96%
Nikola Jokic
1%
Yes1%No99%
Luka Doncic
0%
Yes0%No100%
Devin Booker
0%
Yes0%No100%
LeBron James
0%
Yes0%No100%
$87.3M Vol.
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Colorado Avalanche
20%
Yes20%No80%
Tampa Bay Lightning
15%
Yes15%No85%
Carolina Hurricanes
13%
Yes13%No87%
Dallas Stars
8%
Yes8%No92%
Edmonton Oilers
8%
Yes8%No92%
Vegas Golden Knights
6%
Yes6%No94%
$62.6M Vol.
Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar
70%
Yes70%No30%
Viktor Orbán
31%
Yes31%No69%
István Kapitány
0%
Yes0%No100%
János Lázár
0%
Yes0%No100%
László Toroczkai
0%
Yes0%No100%
Klára Dobrev
0%
Yes0%No100%
$55.6M Vol.
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
41%
Yes41%No59%
Flávio Bolsonaro
37%
Yes37%No63%
Renan Santos
7%
Yes7%No93%
Fernando Haddad
6%
Yes6%No94%
Ronaldo Caiado
3%
Yes3%No97%
Camilo Santana
2%
Yes2%No98%
$45.5M Vol.
Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

June 30
86%
Yes86%No14%
May 31
76%
Yes76%No24%
April 30, 2026
2%
Yes2%No98%
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes0%No100%
October 31, 2025
0%
Yes0%No100%
$22.6M Vol.
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

December 31, 2026
12%
Yes12%No88%
June 30, 2026
3%
Yes3%No97%
December 31, 2025
0%
Yes0%No100%
March 31, 2026
0%
Yes0%No100%
$22.1M Vol.
What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

Drake releases Iceman
86%
Yes86%No14%
GPT-6 released
68%
Yes68%No32%
New Playboi Carti Album
56%
Yes56%No44%
New Rihanna Album
55%
Yes55%No45%
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire
53%
Yes53%No47%
Trump out as President
53%
Yes53%No47%
$20.8M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

9%
chance
YesNo
$19.6M Vol.
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

Candidate M
50%
Yes50%No50%
Paloma Valencia
43%
Yes43%No57%
Iván Cepeda Castro
42%
Yes42%No58%
Abelardo de la Espriella
14%
Yes14%No86%
Claudia López (IND)
0%
Yes0%No100%
Sergio Fajardo (DC)
0%
Yes0%No100%
$17.8M Vol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)
36%
Yes36%No64%
1 (25 bps)
25%
Yes25%No75%
2 (50 bps)
21%
Yes21%No79%
3 (75 bps)
12%
Yes12%No88%
4 (100 bps)
4%
Yes4%No96%
5 (125 bps)
2%
Yes2%No98%
$17.5M Vol.
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